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The Butterfly Effect

Butterfly Effect

A malachite butterfly lands on the face of a girl during a photoshoot to highlight the ‘Sensational Butterflies’ exhibition at the Natural History Museum in London, in 2015. CARL COURT/GETTY IMAGES

“The butterfly effect is the idea that small, seemingly trivial events may ultimately result in something with much larger consequences – in other words, they have non-linear impacts on very complex systems. For instance, when a butterfly flaps its wings in India, that tiny change in air pressure could eventually cause a tornado in Iowa.”

From <https://science.howstuffworks.com/math-concepts/butterfly-effect.htm>

“What used to get me into trouble when I was a little person in junior school – my imagination and propensity to dream, was a trailer to the upcoming blockbuster of my life.”

I personally do not have the scientific know-how to be able to agree or disagree with the statement of the “Butterfly Effect” above, But I can attest to the statement about the little boy.

How many children in their early school years are berated and ridiculed by their teachers, laughed at by classmates, simply because of their inordinate focus on unnurtured imagination, too often passed off as ‘dreamers’? Resulting in the loss of what might otherwise have been a potential ‘blockbuster of life’ in later years. The ‘little things’ which happen in earlier lives can have catastrophic effects in later lives.

What about the massive drive to ‘save the planet’ as the world reels with the effects of various abuses by humanity on our world’s ecosystem? These abuses have been surreptitiously attacking our planet whilst we unknowingly go about our daily lives. They started off maybe a hundred years or so ago, with the introduction and growth of the industrial revolution and mass production of all manner of goods, some necessary, many not; some beneficial to humanity, many not. Probably the greater proportion assailing our ecosystem.

Fateme Alaie
@banuuu

This brings me to the question; if all the above has been taking place little by little in the past, what is there that you and I can do now in the present, to halt the surge of the butterfly effect and heal the damage? There are those of us that are able to start up or join groups that are actively pursuing solutions to the real global pandemic – the assaulting of our planet’s ecosystem. The greater amount of us are unable (hopefully not unwilling) to start up or join these groups, for one reason or another. What about us?

I found the following piece on the same website, which I feel, offers a solution to each and every one of us:

Alessandro Filazzola says that he does wonder about the indirect effects of his personal actions.

“The items I buy, the people I interact with, the things I say, I believe can each have their cascading effects that ripple through society,” he says. “That is why it is important to try and be a good person, to create a positive influence. One thing I also think about is how these indirect effects are often not as small and removed as I believe many would think.”

Alessandro Filazzola, a community ecologist, data scientist, and post-doctorate fellow at the

University of Alberta.

From <https://science.howstuffworks.com/math-concepts/butterfly-effect.htm>

If you feel this article has value, please send this link to others. Writings are meant for people, not for dormant files in our computers. Often, when we share them, it results in positive changes in the lives of individuals and communities.

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If you are spiritually inclined see my other site; www.adcrucemchristi.com

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Lockdown March 6 2021

Lockdown

How are all you wonderful fellow-humans coping out there in this seemingly endless lockdown pandemic (I don’t know which pandemic is worse, lockdown or covid)?

Dolly Parton is attributed to saying: “I can’t change the wind, but I can adjust my sails.”

I have a saying: “There are probably, at this time, some things I might be able to change with regards to Covid and it’s partner, lockdown. But there is a huge amount that I will never be able to change, no matter how I try. For the sake of my sanity, my choice of which I can and cannot change requires wise reasoning.”

I am happily sane because I made a few wise decisions.

Continue reading Lockdown March 6 2021
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Lockdown – Day Seventy One.

“The Giant Arises’

‘Humanity plans, but the universe orders the outcome of these plans.’

It is a most wonderful thing to realize that irrespective of what our governments put into place, only the universe will allow what is beneficial for all humanity, whether this is for today, tomorrow, or forever.

I live next to an airport; I think, as an ex pilot, that’s a cool place to have a home.

Continue reading Lockdown – Day Seventy One.

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Lockdown – Day 46

 

‘Snollygoster’

Politics is the breeding ground of the snollygoster politician.

Such breeding ground is not new to the universe, having originated in biblical times; its tentacles reach all over the world, no countries excluded.

It is driven by greed; but worse, it is the lust of humanity to exercise power and control over fellow humans. It is the worst and most dangerous virus in the world, having killed more humans than any plague in history.

Via the fear of a virus pandemic, we have been blinkered from seeing the real killer virus – a global economy ruled by snollygosters!

Continue reading Lockdown – Day 46

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Lockdown – continued

We may just be able to end the national lockdown safely and re-start the economy – Alan Knott-Craig

BY ALAN KNOTT-CRAIG@GOODTHINGSGUYAPR 7, 2020 70,338 0

Johannesburg, South Africa (7 April 2020) – Alan Knott-Craig wrote an opinion piece that is going viral about how we need to get our minds around why it’s possible to be optimistic about South Africa right now, even during the COVID-19 lockdown.

With all the constant negativity being shared around COVID-19 and lockdown… Knott-Craig’s opinion piece on some of the positives right now is like a breath of fresh air.

He has permitted us to repost it to our readers and we believe it is an incredibly positive outlook in very uncertain times.

Read the full piece below:

South Africa might just get lucky

In February, our country was in bad shape.

Our stock market was over-heated. We were heading for a recession. We were heading for a downgrade. And then COVID-19 happened.

Our stock market collapsed. We’re now in a recession. We’ve now been downgraded.

Before COVID-19, Cyril Ramaphosa was bogged down in ANC political in-fighting, and Eskom was load-shedding every week.

Cyril now has no political opposition, everyone is too busy scrambling to fight the pandemic.

Eskom has stopped load-shedding thanks to the national lockdown easing demand from businesses.

Before progressing, let’s acknowledge that it is possible that this is Armageddon.

Health, economic and political Armageddon. The end.

Millions could die. Millions could lose jobs. Political upheaval could ensue.

Ok, got that.

But it’s also possible that COVID-19 is the best thing to happen to SA since the 2010 Soccer World Cup. South Africa sailed through the Global Financial Crisis thanks to the state-sponsored infrastructure projects for the 2010 World Cup.

We were lucky.

By some bizarre irony, our country’s ongoing battle against TB may just be lucky too.It may just turn out that most South Africans are safe because it’s mandatory to have a Bacillus Calmette–Guérin (BCG) vaccination when they are born to prevent life-threatening TB later on.

“We found that countries without universal policies of BCG vaccination, such as Italy, the Netherlands, and the United States, have been more severely affected compared to countries with universal and long-standing BCG policies,” noted the researchers led by Gonzalo Otazu, assistant professor of biomedical sciences at NYIT.

Let’s compare Spain to Portugal.

Portugal forces BCG vaccinations at birth, Spain doesn’t.

As of 5 April 2020:

  • Portugal: 10,524 cases, 266 deceased. 0.1% infection rate. 2.5% death rate.
  • Spain: 126,128 cases, 13,897 deceased. 0.27% infection rate. 9.5% death rate.

Spaniards are almost 3x more likely to get COVID-19, and 10x more likely to die.

India, like Portugal, administers the BCG vaccine to millions of children soon after birth to combat TB (tuberculosis). And like Portugal, Indian has seen a much lower infection rate, especially when you consider the higher risk of infection due to cramped living conditions and poverty.

And yet the USA, where there are no mandatory BCG vaccinations, has the highest number of infections, in spite of the USA’s being is 4x smaller, 28x richer and 13x less populated than India’s.

Thanks to South Africa’s mandatory BCG vaccination policy, we may just be less affected than many countries in the world.

We may just be able to end the national lockdown and re-start the economy.

Ending the lockdown will benefit SA in seven ways:

  1. Millions of jobs will be saved. Millions of families will be rescued from economic hardship.
  2. Universal BCG vaccination gives our country a comparative advantage over countries that don’t, i.e.: all developed countries, and all developing countries that don’t have the systems and/or economic means to enforce mandatory vaccinations.
  3. Cyril Ramaphosa can use the economic crisis as leverage to implement the much-needed structural economic reforms our country needs, without the ANC in-fighting that has previously hamstrung his efforts.
  4. People have opened their eyes to the power of online education. No need to have the world’s best math teacher living in Butterworth. No need to print and deliver millions of textbooks. No matter where you live, you can have a world-class education (assuming you have affordable broadband).
  5. Less flying and driving. Even the most hide-bound of executives have now been forced to telecommute. Turns out it ain’t so hard. Good for traffic. Good for the climate.
  6. It means Eskom’s grid can take a breather whilst essential maintenance is carried out and IPP’s prepare for selling directly to customers, reducing our reliance on Eskom, ultimately creating a stronger and more resilient power grid.
  7. It means the Moody and Fitch downgrades are pretty meaningless. Everyone is being downgraded.

Ending the national lockdown will be the best thing that our government can do to save our economy.

If the positive scenario pans out, South Africa will be the equivalent of a golfer hitting a duck hook into the water, ricocheting off a submerged rock, bouncing back to the green, and the ball coming to rest three feet from the pin.

We may just be pretty damn lucky.

The whole world is in it together, but, by some miracle, South Africa might be the best place to be in it.

Sources: Opinion Piece – Alan Knott-Craig 

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We all need to hear positive words about our country’s current status. Even if you do not agree with a particular opinion, its a lot better than the negative vomit that we are receiving from all over the place.

Share this if you think it might lift another person’s spirits.

 

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Lockdown!

Our President placed this country under lockdown as at midnight on Thursday, March 26th.

I am the oldest member of my immediate family, which consists of two children and five grandchildren, living in five different homes within a twenty five kilometer radius of one another.

I have never experienced a ‘lockdown’ before.

I grew up in the latter part of the great war and lived in tough post war times following D-Day. My father and three uncles were part of the war machine. One uncle was killed and thankfully my father and his brother came home to us.

I watched two sons conscripted into the war machine in the ‘80’s. Both came home alive, one was wounded and recovered physically, but never psychologically.

Thankfully my grandchildren have grown, one in his teens, four into their twenties. Two have university degrees and three are on their way; all have good homes.

At the onset of Covid-19, my grandchildren, faced with far greater media hype than I ever experienced, were placed in a situation of doubt and concern; notwithstanding their access to information on the internet and research skills acquired in the course of their education, or maybe, because of this fact.

We parents are faced with both the concerns for our children and the economy of our country; it’s population of fifty seven million souls; six million of which live in our city. We are concerned for our own Small Businesses, the livelihood of which supports our family.

This, in addition to our biggest concern for the potential physical effects of the virus upon our population in a third world country, which could not cope with a pandemic, like say, Italy!

In this country, we have the best government since 1994. Our President and Minister of Finance are very capable men (my opinion). So, from a security and economic perspective we have a small chance.

From the virus viewpoint, where the greater percentage of our people are not familiar with preventative measures that need to be applied and our country having very limited medical resource to cope with the size of our population, “Solum habemus fide in Deum – In God alone we trust.”

From what I can gather, our government, businesses and many responsible people, seemed to have galvanized themselves into action. If my Grandchildren asked me what more could be done to help, I would have to say that, outside of following good hygienic preventative measures and obeying what our government have instructed – nothing.

What I would tell them is: we need to look in another direction. Into that lesser understood place within ourselves. That place from which we receive priceless advice, honest advice, advice we are able to rely on.

In the event of some traumatic event affecting our family, our community, country, the globe, as the Covid-19 we face now, what is our very first turn? To fear. Fear of dying, losing a family member, relative, friends. Fear of lack, of material loss, of unemployment, the list is endless. Then we seek advice from wherever we can source it, reliable or otherwise, after which, we worry, even to the point of illness.

With any catastrophe there are certainly two issues that will arise in it’s wake:

  • We can do nothing to change the course of the catastrophe.
  • We can do nothing about the (possibly major) changes that will take place in our lives.

We should accept that the only place where we can make decisions affecting our future  is now, in this moment. The past is too late and the ‘future’, in reality, does not exist.

If we refuse to act in this moment now, we will find that our situation, after a night’s sleep, is in the ‘now’ of what we called ‘tomorrow!’

Among the farming and business population of the country in which I was raised, there was a common saying, “Next year will be better.” I left that country eventually, not by choice. The decision I had to make was almost immediate and I realize now that it was made in a moment called now. That ‘now’ was made fifty years ago and I am so grateful, that I made the move, as I have watched that country fall lower than its knees, laid waste by corrupt, greedy politicians.

Consulting our inner selves now and planning as to how we will live our lives, irrespective of what our decisions are, will allow us to navigate from today’s now, onward.

It will allow us to plan ahead, because that is wise; but to plan building our life’s foundations on a solid rock now, not wait for the elusive ‘tomorrow.’

It will allow us to live every moment of our lives in the now, because neither the past nor the future exist – the only time is, now.

We have been given an opportunity of, now twenty days, lockdown. An opportunity to:

  • Evaluate our relationships, spiritual and human.
  • Evaluate the things for which we need to be grateful.
  • Evaluate what is beneficial in our lives now and discard the unprofitable.
  • Evaluate what we tolerate and get rid of what’s useless for us to tolerate.

This list is by no means exhaustive.

In this moment NOW we have been offered a window of time to consider, what changes we can make, before changes, over which we have no control, will move in first.

Don’t waste this space pondering on what could happen, just make it happen.

All rights reserved sirpeterjamesdotcom©2020-03-20

If you feel this article has value, please send this link to others, Writings are meant for people, not for dormant files in our computers and very often when we share them, it results in positive changes in the lives of individuals and communities.

If you are spiritually inclined see my other site; www.adcrucemchristi.com

Please feel free to send in questions (see ‘Contact’) and comments (hit ‘Comments’

button).